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What The Scenarios Teach Us:Fostering OpportunitiesThrough Resilience

Examining the trends across the three scenarios makes vivid that the world will become more volatile in the years ahead. States, institutions, and societies will be under pressure from above and below the level of the nation-state to adapt to systemic challenges— and to act sooner rather than later. From above, climate change, technology standards and protocols, and transnational terrorism will require multilateral cooperation. From below, the inability of government to meet the expectations of their citizens, inequality, and identity politics will increase the risk of instability. Responding effectively to these challenges will require not only sufficient resources and capacity but also political will. Moreover, the extent of these challenges might overwhelm the capacity of individual states and international institutions to resolve problems on their own, suggesting a greater role for a wide range of public and private actors.

Examining the trends across the three scenarios makes vivid that the world will become more volatile in the years ahead.

The scenarios also highlight, however, that the very same trends heightening risks in the near term can enable better outcomes over the longer term if the proliferation of power and players builds resilience to manage greater disruptions and uncertainty. In a world where surprises hit harder and more frequently, the most successful actors will be those that are resilient, enabling them to better adapt to changing conditions, persevere in the face of adversity, and act quickly to recover after mistakes.

Although resilience increases in importance in a more chaotic world, traditional calculations of state power rarely factor in a state’s resilience. The sudden collapse of the Soviet Union and the breakdown of state authority in the aftermath of the “Arab Spring” suggest that states can be fragile in ways that conventional measures of power do not capture.

The governments, organizations, and individuals that are most capable of identifying opportunities and working cooperatively to act upon them will be most successful, but the window for forging new patterns of cooperation is narrowing. The collective action challenge is becoming more pronounced as global challenges grow. The near-term choices of individuals, organizations, and states will shape how the current governability and cooperation crisis is addressed, or whether an extended period of ad hoc, uncoordinated responses to uncertainty and volatility will intensify tensions within, between, and among states. Alliance management, improvement of national governance and international institutions, and openness to mobilizing a wide range of commercial, religious, civil, and advocacy organizations at all levels of government will be key to sustaining positive outcomes.

by Peter Aranyi
Student Life

The last 20 years have seen trends in student housing materialize, develop, shift, and even reverse. New ideas are tried and either embraced or discarded, or perhaps melded with successful concepts from yesterday. As colleges and universities seek to keep students on campus, new styles of accommodation are emerging, compelling us to discuss how underclassmen student housing today is changing – and what remains very much the same.

Focus on Improved Housing for Freshmen Sophomores

As part of a surge in new housing projects for freshman and sophomores, we are seeing increasing demand for double occupancy rooms and suite-style arrangements in both new construction and renovation projects. The return to these more traditional student housing units stands in stark contrast to recent trends geared toward individual bedrooms and apartment-style units, but isn’t shocking when you consider the concerns facing colleges and universities related to student socialization and corresponding retention, not to mention the cost of higher education. In 7 Trends Shaping Student Housing on College Campuses , we discussed how the arrival of Generation Z on campus is influencing student life environments. With college students arriving on campus as intuitive users of technology and likely never having shared a bedroom, institutions of higher education are tasked with supporting these students in balancing privacy with healthy social interaction.

Better Bathrooms Protect Student Privacy

In conjunction with the emphasis on traditional, shared bedroom units, ‘spa bathrooms’ are growing in popularity, helping to balance student-demanded privacy with intentional social space. Colleges and universities are responding to clear student preferences for private environments for showers and toilets. Conceptually, these spaces are not completely disconnected from the community bathrooms of yesterday, as spa bathrooms are often centralized but provide either complete or partial privacy. In recognition of the unique opportunity for socialization that community bathrooms historically offer, spa bathrooms will often include private shower and toilet facilities, but common vanity sinks and space where students will see and interact with each other, making new connections and building stronger relationships.

Schools in the Big Ten are taking this concept a step further. While other institutions are typically creating nice spaces that provide toilet and shower privacy, schools including Penn State and UNC Charlotte are providing complete private bathroom facilities for students. Sometimes provided within a larger group bathroom or located off a hallway, this approach maximizes student privacy – and arguably safety – in the restroom setting.

Invigorating the Social Experience with Game Rooms and Great Rooms

A key challenge to institutional goals for student interaction relates to the accessibility of technology. With virtually every college student carrying a smart phone and laptop at all times, social networks, games, and other entertainment is literally at their fingertips. They no longer have to leave the privacy of their rooms to seek out an interaction, movie, or game. Public spaces that support active student life on college campuses need to adjust in response, offering experiences that are both compelling and unavailable via personal devices.

High tech amenities like the gaming rooms created in the renovation of Edens Quad at Duke University demonstrate the successful execution of this strategy. These rooms create an ecosystem of gaming environments, including places for the serious, even competitive, gamer as well as those more interested in a casual, relaxed environment. As a result, they are a huge draw for students, integrating robust technology with social engagement.

Student life design also continues to see the blurring of the lines between living and learning spaces as teaching methodologies change and intentional living-learning environments are created. Great rooms and group study spaces are frequently integrated into residence halls to support objectives for socialization as well as to meet student needs for completing project- and team-based assignments. Designed as comfortable, inviting “living rooms,” great rooms need to be strategically located near the main lobby and transparently highlight the activity within to encourage students to engage with the space and each other. The great room in Duke University’s Edens Quad, for example, offers multiple functions including private study, group collaboration, and even a coffee and food component. Beyond functionality, the inclusion of features such as a fireplace or piano convey a sense of home for students, supporting the use of these environments as social and relaxation spaces.

These key shifts in underclassmen student housing reflect the changing generational demographics on campus as well as the different needs of underclassmen and upperclassmen. As student life designers, we continuously look to the future and consider the primary audiences whose needs must be weighed as these environments continue to evolve.

Peter Aranyi , AIA, leads our Student Life practice and works with college and university clients to design dynamic student life communities. He believes these communities should create an atmosphere that promotes continuous intellectual and social growth, supporting long-term student success. To learn more about our Student Life practice or to speak with Peter, please call 704.377.8800 or email Angara Solitaire Oval Sapphire VBale Pendant in White Gold vPKt0
.

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